The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

In 2022, the yield curve, which maps yields on U.S. Treasury bonds of different maturities, became inverted, meaning short-term Treasuries had higher yields than longer-dated ones. This inversion ...

Analysts and investors began to brace for a souring economic environment as the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of a 3 ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...